Estimating the U.S. Citizen Voting-Age Population (CVAP)
Abstract Number:
2593
Submission Type:
Contributed Abstract
Contributed Abstract Type:
Paper
Participants:
Andres Mira (1), Marta Murray Close (2), J David Brown (2)
Institutions:
(1) U.S. Census Bureau, United States, (2) U.S. Census Bureau, N/A
Co-Author(s):
First Author:
Presenting Author:
Abstract Text:
This report develops a method using administrative records (AR) to fill in responses for nonresponding American Community Survey (ACS) housing units rather than adjusting survey weights to account for selection of a subset of nonresponding housing units for follow-up interviews and for nonresponse bias. The method also inserts AR and modeling in place of edits and imputations for ACS survey citizenship item nonresponses. We produce Citizen Voting-Age Population (CVAP) tabulations using this enhanced CVAP method and compare them to published estimates. The enhanced CVAP method produces a 0.74 percentage point lower citizen share, and it is 3.05 percentage points lower for voting-age Hispanics. The latter result can be partly explained by omissions of voting-age Hispanic noncitizens with unknown legal status from ACS household responses. Weight adjustments may be less effective at addressing nonresponse bias under those conditions.
Keywords:
Citizenship|Administrative Records|Voting-Age Population|Nonresponse Bias| |
Sponsors:
Government Statistics Section
Tracks:
Administrative Records
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