Log-Gaussian Cox Processes on Networks for Crime Hotspot Analysis

Abstract Number:

2078 

Submission Type:

Contributed Abstract 

Contributed Abstract Type:

Poster 

Participants:

lulu jiang (1), David Bolin (2)

Institutions:

(1) N/A, N/A, (2) King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, N/A

Co-Author:

David Bolin  
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology

First Author:

lulu jiang  
N/A

Presenting Author:

lulu jiang  
N/A

Abstract Text:

Current spatial point process modeling of crime data primarily relies on Euclidean distances, while criminal incidents such as robbery or vehicle crime only occur on the streets of cities. This study utilizes the recently proposed Log-Gaussian Cox Processes (LGCPs) on metric graphs to analyze crime data from the UK. The purpose is to study the effect of explanatory variables such as population density, education levels, and socioeconomic factors and to find hotspots of crime. We also compare the LGCPs on the networks with LGCPs defined in Euclidean space to investigate the effect of taking the network structure into account.

Keywords:

Metric Graphs|Log-Gaussian Cox Processes|Crime Hotspot Analysis|Network-Based Modeling| |

Sponsors:

Section on Bayesian Statistical Science

Tracks:

Space, time and process modeling

Can this be considered for alternate subtype?

Yes

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No

I have read and understand that JSM participants must abide by the Participant Guidelines.

Yes

I understand that JSM participants must register and pay the appropriate registration fee by June 3, 2025. The registration fee is non-refundable.

I understand