WITHDRAWN A Model Approach to JOLTS Small Area Estimation

Music City Center 

The Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) program of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has since 2021 begun to produce state-level estimates to satisfy data users' interest. While JOLTS state-level estimates have proven to be very useful and well received, there is great interest in smaller areas, especially state-industry and sub-state.

We will discuss the feasibility of producing JOLTS small area estimates. JOLTS state estimates use a Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) based model that imputes JOLTS microdata for all QCEW records based on employment change, establishment size and industry classification. The state model estimates are summed within each US Census Region. The percentage share of each state of the regionally summed estimates are applied to the published JOLTS regional estimate to derive a final model state estimate. Essentially, the JOLTS published regional estimates are apportioned to each state based on their model percentage share. Small area estimates could be modeled and apportioned in much the same way, apportioning the JOLTS state estimate to each substate small area based on their QCEW model percentage share.

JOLTS

Sub-state estimation 

Government Statistics Section