Monday, Aug 3: 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM
6443
Contributed Papers
Thomas M. Menino Convention & Exhibition Center
Room: CC-256
Main Sponsor
Survey Research Methods Section
Presentations
High-quality public statistics are essential for public policies and the exercise of citizenship. Although survey methods are often overlooked, quantitative surveys play a crucial role in generating relevant public statistics. To inform ongoing debate about the need for quantitative surveys in our evolving information society, two recent Brazilian surveys on specific social and economic issues will be presented. One survey collected data on the effects of a tragic dam collapse on labour, income, and subsistence among affected populations in 45 Brazilian cities. The collapse constitutes Brazil's worst environmental tragedy caused by a technological disaster of the mining industry, in which 43 million m3 of iron ore tailings caused environmental damage, polluting 668km of watercourses. The other is a household survey designed to inform public policy in a single town and to provide local area statistics. The city is a pioneer in Brazil in conducting a large-scale survey, interviewing 13,900 households. The value of household surveys is recognised when the data collected are crucial for decision-making and suitable for their intended purpose.
Keywords
Survey Methods
Household surveys
Public statistics
Environmental disaster
Policy evaluation
Survey costs have long been acknowledged as one of the most important constraints on survey designs. Despite this importance, survey costs and their correlates remain largely hidden. When costs are discussed, different measures are used and inputs into the cost measures are inconsistently defined, leading to difficulties in comparing costs across studies. The goal of this paper is to examine how costs are defined in published survey methodological and statistical articles. To do so, this paper content analyzes over 1500 articles in four journals dedicated solely to survey methodology and statistics research. Costs for each of these papers are coded according to the categories of monetary and nonmonetary costs, the cost metric, the data source for costs, and whether the costs reflect fixed or variable costs. Only 10 percent of these articles report any cost information or include costs in a statistical formula. Of this 10 percent, about 95 percent examine variable costs, but there is little similarity in other aspects of cost measurement, including whether the costs are estimated or observed in data, the units of analysis for costs (e.g., total, costs per sampled unit, costs per complete), or whether costs are reported for a single part of a study design or summed over multiple components. Nine common measures of nonmonetary costs are identified, and almost 30 inputs into monetary costs are used in different combinations across studies. Although standardized cost measures may be developed in the future, for now, researchers should clearly define cost measurements and consider analyses of multiple studies within organizations or across partnering organizations to identify associations between costs, survey design features, and error indicators.
Keywords
Survey Costs
Data collection
Variable costs
Mail-to-web surveys for address-based samples is a well-established methodology, but mail production timelines can be too rigid to boost response rates efficiently. Text messaging, in contrast, can be scaled up quickly, with the drawback of mismatches between address-based records and phone numbers. VPC and CVI have fielded post-election surveys among voters eligible for our GOTV mail since 2023. To ensure response and reach underrepresented groups, we used both recruitment modes along with monetary incentives.
We embedded a randomized experiment into the 2025 survey to test if response rates vary by incentive amounts under each mode. The survey targets included those under 35, people of color, and unmarried women. Some of these groups may be harder to survey, providing a test case to measure effects of incentives on not only rates of response but also its composition. We created two experimental conditions for each mode with these incentives: $0 vs. $5 (text) and $3 vs. $5 (mail). The analysis will present effects on response rates and cost/complete and examine if changing incentives affect potential respondent traits, including demographics and past political participation.
Keywords
mail-to-web survey
text-to-web survey
survey response rates
survey incentives
underrepresented groups
survey sample composition
Speaker
Yi Wu, Voter Participation Center / Center for Voter Information
Co-Author(s)
Austin Reed, Angle Mastagni Mathews Political Strategies LLC
Isaiah Bailey, Voter Participation Center / Center for Voter Information
Jenna Zitomer, Voter Participation Center / Center for Voter Information
Karuna Koppula, Voter Participation Center / Center for Voter Information
Tim Lumpkins, Voter Participation Center / Center for Voter Information
Matthew Haney, Voter Participation Center / Center for Voter Information
John Malloy, Voter Participation Center / Center for Voter Information
The Decennial Census is the largest peacetime mobilization in the United States, including a field operation that requires hundreds of thousands of enumerators that knock on doors of housing units who have not self-responded to the Census. This nonresponse follow-up (NRFU) operation is very costly. In order to control NRFU-related data collection costs and reduce contact burden on the US population, the Census uses internally-held administrative data (AD) to identify housing units that can be enumerated with in-house data, reducing the need for repeated enumerator follow-ups.
A data quality-driven approach to using these AD to enumerate NRFU-eligible housing units could reduce the overall cost of the NRFU operation, while allowing enumerators to focus on cases with unavailable or poor quality AD. The 2026 Census Test will incorporate a decision rules framework to determine which housing units could accurately and sufficiently be enumerated using administrative records, reducing the need for NRFU contact attempts on these cases.
This talk will include a discussion of the overall decision rules framework, the component models, and select simulation results.
Keywords
adaptive and responsive design
data quality
survey costs
predictive models
bayesian methods
For the 2020 Census, the Census Bureau implemented models using administrative records (AR) to identify addresses with a high likelihood of an unoccupied status. These models were deployed during its nonresponse followup (NRFU) operation to limit contact attempts to unoccupied units. By doing so, field interviewers could allocate more time to occupied households that had not responded.
This research analyzes scenarios in which addresses with a high predicted probability of being unoccupied were determined to be occupied during the 2020 NRFU operation. In particular we examine address- and area-level conditions where these differences occurred. We then show improvements to the modeling methodology by incorporating new predictors. We provide general insight into survey methods with respect to how unoccupied addresses can be identified prior to fieldwork.
Keywords
administrative data
2030 Census
Household surveys of children typically require large address samples because identifying eligible children relies on household-level screening, which can substantially increase data collection costs. Prior research has shown that the presence-of-children flag appended to the address-based sampling (ABS) frames lacks sufficient accuracy to meaningfully reduce screening costs. Using data from a large national study that screened for children via a mail push-to-web mode, this paper evaluates the feasibility of combining multiple ABS-appended variables to more efficiently identify households with children. Results show that a stratified sampling design can improve screening efficiency and reduce costs, but that effective sample size-accounting for differential sampling rates across strata-is a more appropriate metric than nominal sample size. In addition, the predictive performance of ABS-appended variables varies across children's age groups. The findings also highlight the need to assess the quality of the ABS-appended variables, as improvements over time can directly affect the efficiency gains achievable under a stratified design.
Keywords
surveys of children
screening efficiency
data collection cost
stratification
data quality
Most national surveys aim to produce accurate overall population estimates while supporting comparisons across key sociodemographic groups, including racial and ethnic minorities. This paper evaluates the efficiency and tradeoffs of oversampling racial and ethnic minority groups using the Bayesian Surname–Geography method in the address-based sampling context, in comparison with two alternative approaches based on vendor-appended demographic indicators and proprietary big-data classifiers. Beyond assessing data quality measures such as precision and recall, the paper presents an evaluation framework that explicitly links oversampling choices to design effects arising from unequal selection probabilities. This framework is applied to the empirical data from two national surveys to assess effective sample size gains for both target and non-target populations. The results provide practical guidance for designing oversampling strategies that improve precision for multiple subgroups while avoiding substantial variance inflation in overall estimates.
Keywords
Oversampling
racial/ethnic minority population
design effect
Bayesian Surname and Geocoding (BSG)